I will give them credit—they cut their white collar payroll,
managed to get rid of that union job bank and they came up with restructuring
plans—but after doing all of that, they are back with their hands out.
Previously, General Motors and Chrysler received $17.4 billion; but now, as
part of their restructuring plans, they are looking for a total of $34 billion to stay out of bankruptcy.
What Do They Want,
What Will They Give?
GM is seeking $30 billion from the Treasury, which is up
from previous estimates of $18 billion and includes $13.4 billion the company
has already received. GM claims that it could run out of money by March without
the additional funds, needing $2 billion next month and another $2.6 billion in
April to keep going. Chrysler is looking for a mere $5 billion to keep going.
What are they willing to do to get this money? The
automakers say they are ready to trim the proverbial fat with plans that call
for thousands of additional job cuts, the elimination of models and brands, plant
closings, union concessions and the possibility of additional expense cutting
later on. Word of Union concessions is beginning to trickle out as well, concessions
that will eliminate the jobs bank, limit overtime, change work rules, cut
lump-sum cash bonuses and get rid of cost-of-living pay raises and generally
help bring the companies' labor costs into line with their Japanese competitors
with plants in the United States. Talks are continuing regarding retiree
healthcare trust funds and the question of whether or not the companies can
fund the funds with stock.
And If They Don’t Get
It…?
The hammer that the auto industry is holding over the heads
of Congress and the Administration is the threat of bankruptcy and the cost to
the economy of one or more of the automakers going under.
According to GM Chief Operating Officer Fritz Henderson, the
company looked at three bankruptcy scenarios, all of which would cost the government
more than $30 billion with the worst costing $100 billion because of a severe
drop in GM's revenue. That is a legitimate worry since a bankrupt car company
may have a lot of trouble selling cars. Henderson
cites research that suggests sales would “fall off a cliff.”
The Bottom Line
I have to wonder, how much worse for the economy would actual
automaker bankruptcy be? Considering that these companies, in order to get
government relief, are restructuring their businesses tells me that this is
really a bankruptcy, but without the name. The automakers are going lay off
thousands, close plants, cut models and brands, reduce their contract
obligations—they would have to do all these things during their bankruptcy, but
they would have to meet certain standards, one of which would almost certainly
be a time limit.
The fact that they are coming back to the public trough for
another helping, and that they expect to need more funds next month and the
month after, tells me that they are going to move on their restructuring at a
stately, glacial pace. During a time of crisis, taking it slow is not the way
to handle things. These companies need to move to aggressively clean up their
acts so they can once more be competitive, so they no longer have to go to
Congress to beg for money. After all, it is only a matter of time before the
government decides that it is time to nationalize the automakers. If it can do
that with the banks, why not the backbone of American heavy industry, the
automakers?
This second helping also raises questions about if and when
there will be a third, or a fourth. There is already disbursement of TARP II
funds and rumors are flying about plans for a second stimulus program, so it is
not beyond the realm of possibility. Will this become a quarterly event, and if
it does, how long will it be before the cost of keeping GM and Chrysler becomes
greater than simply allowing them to go to the wall?
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