One thing you can always count on from
Washington is irony, and today they did not disappoint. To date, the
US Government under Bush and Obama have spent well over a trillion of
your tax dollars and mine to shore up the economy and, specifically,
to “inject liquidity” into the credit market. We have had TARP I
and TARP II, the Stimulus Bill, the federal spending bill, earmarks,
pork, bailouts and anything else they could think of to throw money
at. The Chinese have bought T-bills until it hurt and now we are
printing enough money to double the money supply in this country just
so the Fed can buy more T-bills. On top of that we now have trillion
dollar budget deficits and governmental power-grabs that would make
the Medicis blush and for what? Well, among other social and
political goals, they are ostensibly doing this so the banks will
loan money to you.
Problem is that the banks, for the most
part, are not budging. They're not lending, either, and today the
situation got a little worse as four of the Small Business
Administration's lending banks cut their lending to nothing.
According to CNNMoney.com:
Temecula Valley Bancorp (TMCV) and
Capital One Bank (COF, Fortune 500) have stopped taking applications
for new loans through the Small Business Administration's flagship
7(a) loan program, and Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) has slowed
its lending volume to a trickle. Small Business Loan Source, a
non-bank SBA lender that specialized in commercial real estate
financing, is closed to new applications and leaving all new SBA
lending activity to its parent company, First Bank in Clayton, Mo.
These four institutions were among
the 30 largest SBA lenders in the 2008 fiscal year, accounting for 4%
of the program's loan volume, or $524 million of the $12.8 billion
that was lent to nearly 70,000 businesses, according to data compiled
by Coleman Publishing, which monitors small business lending trends.
Now, 4% may not seem like a great deal,
but the money involved—over a half-billion dollars—is
considerable and represents a fairly large number of small
businesses. This, and the fact that the other banks are making no
moves to fill the gap, also represents something else—the inherent
weakness in the programs being used to try and deal with this
problem.
Stricter underwriting figures as a
major obstacle for small businesses seeking SBA loans. Many of these
are troubled and have a hard time meeting the requirements with too
many defaults. Another problem comes from the secondary market, where
there loans are bundled and then sold to investors. Treasury is going
to begin buying up these bundles soon, but there is no telling how
that will change things. While these banks and other say they still
make loans, but not through the SBA program, small business owners
across the country continue to say that small business lending is
still almost nonexistent.
And all this after that veritable
hurricane of federal spending. Isn't that ironic?
Of course, that still leaves you with a
very distinct need to find
some funding. You need to decide if you can handle debt
financing—where you borrow money—or equity financing—where you
take on investors—and go from there. Sources for these include
banks—a longshot these days but still worth a try—and family,
friends, venture capitalists and angel investors (another longshot),
microloans, personal loans, credit cards and so on. There is money
out there, the problem is that this money is not moving.
Why? Because we are living in uncertain
times with a government that seems content to reel from one fire to
the next, never adequately extinguishing any of them. Given these
circumstances, it is no wonder that the banks are not lending. They
are waiting for stability and no amount of “liquidity” is going
to change that. Perhaps Treasury's plan to buy up these loan bundles
will provide that. We'll have to see. Some are optimistic that this
will make these loans less risky to lenders and so induce them to
lend more freely. I hope so, since it will be small business that
pulls us out of this economic hole.
Yet I wonder, and not with a little
trepidation, given the track record of this Administration and this
Congress, once the money goes out and the Treasury owns all of these
loans on all of these small businesses, what will happen next?
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