Yes, I believe later on there should
be tax increases. Speaking personally, I think there are a lot of
very rich people out there whom we can tax at a point down the road
and recover some of this money.
--Rep. Barney Frank on CNBC's "Closing
Bell," 10/20/08)
Don't let the class warfare jargon fool
you, this is not good news. Why? Because the Democratic plan will
harm small business owners who have their business income reported on
their personal taxes and two, there is no way for them to “cut
taxes on 95% of American taxpayers” and only raise the rates on the
top 5% and still keep all their promises. That is, assuming they
intend on keeping those promises in the first place. Keeping fiscal
promises is not a Democratic Party strong suit. Consider this
analysis by the nonpartisan Tax Foundation:
-
To the surprise of some, even
though Senator Obama's tax plan lowers taxes for the bottom four
quintiles, marginal tax rates would fall only for the very
lowest-income couples. Taking both income and payroll taxes into
account, those at the very bottom of the income distribution would
see their effective marginal tax rates fall from 27.4 percent to
minus 58.6 percent due to proposed changes to the earned income tax
credit and Senator Obama's new "Making Work Pay" credit.
-
[Under Obama's plan] Most low- and
moderate-income couples would see their effective marginal tax rates
rise, in some cases, significantly. Indeed, some low- and
moderate-income taxpayers will see their marginal rates rise to more
than 50 percent.
-
High-income taxpayers can also
expect their effective marginal tax rates to rise—to 47.2
percent-under Senator Obama's tax plan. This increase is caused by
rolling back the 2001 and 2003 reductions in the top two tax rates,
curtailing deductions and exemptions at high income levels, and
potentially raising Social Security taxes.
-
Senator McCain's tax plan also changes marginal tax rates.
His proposal to replace the exclusion for employer-based health
insurance with a new health tax credit boosts taxpayers' taxable
incomes by their health insurance premiums which generally pushes
taxpayers into higher tax brackets, but not to as great an extent as
Senator Obama's tax plan.
How is it that low and moderate income
Americans—hardly the rich—can see their tax rates rise? You can
blame the labyrinthine ins and outs and amazing fiscal sophistry that
is the US Tax Code. The mechanics of all, however, are far less
important than the anticipated outcome—more tax dollars taken from
productive Americans and “spread around” by Washington
politicians who have already proven that they cannot be trusted with
the nation's finances. They are looking forward to it, as Barney
Frank, one of the architects of the current economic crisis said,
there are a lot of rich people we can tax. For those of you in
the lower and middle income brackets, congratulations, you have
finally made it!
The Effect on Small Business
One of the major effects that all this
tax mania will have is actually already being felt thanks to the
economic problems we are facing: Venture capitalists are becoming
more and more leery of investing in new businesses.
According to Associated Press (AP)
business writer Michael Liedtke, “As it becomes increasingly
difficult to cash out of their previous investments, venture
capitalists are gradually closing their financial spigots in what
could be the start of a long, dry spell for entrepreneurs.” Given
the economic climate, the venture capitalists that are active are
spending more of their money on the firms they have already committed
to, rather than taking on new firms, and that can spell trouble for
start-ups. “Companies soliciting their first round of financing
raised $1.5 billion in the third quarter, down from $1.9 billion at
the same time last year. To make matters worse for entrepreneurs, the
credit crunch and slumping real estate market is closing financing
options outside the venture capital industry. When entrepreneurs are
looking to raise their first $1 million, they often rely on credit
cards and home equity loans, but beleaguered banks have been imposing
more restrictions on those sources.”
In other words, entrepreneurs are
finding more and more avenues to seed money being closed off or
seriously curtailed. Additional taxation on people who found
businesses and so create jobs will have the effect of dampening the
willingness and/or ability of venture capitalists to take the risks
associated with investing in a new start-up business, and risk is
really the name of the game. Venture capitalists rely on successes to
offset the costs of inevitable failure. That is how they stay in
business. By increasing their tax burdens, you make that risk far
less acceptable and so it will be more difficult for new businesses
to get off the ground. That slows the engine of job growth even
further (and it is barely idling right now) and from there things get
bad in a business climate that is already suffering.
The Bottom Line
It is simple: High taxes are bad for
all business. “Soak the rich” tax policy is bad for
entrepreneurs, especially those with start-up businesses that have to
rely on venture capital. We have to inject capital into the economy,
not into the Treasury and that is done by making the US a good place
to do business, and that is done by keeping taxes low. In a free
market economy, this is how it works and this has always been how it
worked. It is as predictable as gravity and just as reliable. The
alternative is the command economy of socialism, where economic
decisions are in the hands of government, which takes most of your
money to “spread it around.”
Thanks, I think I'll keep mine. Enough
has been spread around already!
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